Purpose of this lecture
How to quantify benefits of process improvements and build ROI into action plans.
Why quantify process improvements? (1/2)
Finance mindset: compare investments by expected future returns; stakeholders demand value clarity; resources are scarce—direct capital to highest return.
Why quantify process improvements? (2/2)
Meet/beat hurdle rates; enable continuous improvement by “how much” change; earn a serious “seat at the table” with management.
Common pushback to ROI for processes
Less historical precedence than financial assets → skepticism; results can seem “too high” vs typical hurdle rates; some initiatives may show negative ROI.
How to handle negative ROI items
Don’t hide them—explain learning/pilots and why they’re still strategically necessary.
How to handle very high ROI estimates
Be transparent about assumptions; explain why process ROI can exceed typical 10–20% hurdle rates (automation, low cost vs big gain).
Classical ROI—core formula (percent)
ROI % = (Benefit − Cost) ÷ Cost × 100.
Benefit–Cost Ratio (BCR)
BCR = Benefit ÷ Cost (ratio > 1.0 indicates benefits exceed costs).
Payback Period (months)
Payback = (Net Cost ÷ Monthly Benefit) × 12 (or use actual period units).
Why payback is favored in PI
Simple, intuitive time-to-recover investment; fits operational changes with quick wins.
Other finance-style ROI metrics (note)
Cost of capital models, dividend/return growth, income/investment—less common for process improvement.
“ROI is what the stakeholder wants”
Define success by the audience—may include non-financial outcomes if that’s what they value.
Quantitative vs qualitative ROI
Quantitative = monetized, measurable changes (e.g., $ saved, % faster); Qualitative (intangible) = culture, engagement, trust—list alongside but don’t monetize if weak.
Author’s stance on intangibles
Include intangibles, but always prepare a quantitative estimate too.
Criteria for an effective PI ROI model (SIMPLE)
Simple, Economical (dollar value add), Credible, Theoretically sound, Isolates effects, Broadly applicable, Flexible, Data-compatible, Cost-inclusive, Proven.
Cost-inclusive principle
Use conservative costing; include direct and indirect costs to avoid overstating ROI.
“Roughly reasonable” standard
ROI need not be perfect—use reasonable assumptions and document them.
Chosen model for PI ROI
ROI Institute’s “ROI Process” (roiinstitute.net)—credible, cross-industry, suited for non-financial initiatives.
ROI Process—three core ideas
Estimate, Isolate, Adjust.
Estimate (definition)
Determine the total desired business result (e.g., +20% sales) independent of any single initiative.
Isolate (definition)
Determine what portion of the total change is attributable to the specific process improvement (e.g., 10% of the 20%).
Adjust (definition)
Apply a confidence factor to account for uncertainty in estimates (e.g., 50% confidence → multiply by 0.5).
Converting to monetary impact
Monetize the total estimated change, then apply Isolation and Adjustment → Net Benefit; subtract costs for ROI.
Isolation methods (examples)
Expert judgment; historical comparisons; participant estimates (averaged); analytics/process mining; control groups (where feasible).