Types of Equity Valuation
1) Discounted cashflow model
2) Multiplier model
3) Asset-based models
Discounted cash flow
Estimated value of the PV of future cash
Dividend discount model
Future cash distributed to shareholders
Free cash flow to equity model
Future cash available to shareholders
Multiplier models
1) Price multiplier
2) Enterprise value multiplier
Asset-based model
Equity value is equal to total asset value minus liabilities and preferred stock values
Cash dividends
Payments made to shareholders in cash
1) Regular dividends
2) Extra (special) dividends
Stock dividend
Payment to shareholders in shares of stock
Stock split
Proportionate increase in shares outstanding
Reverse stock split
Proportionate decrease in shares outstanding
Share repurchase
1) Tax advantage (if capital gains tax lower than dividend tax)
2) Signal that shares are undervalued
3) Can offset employee stock options
Dividends: Declaration date
Date board approves dividend
Dividends: Ex-dividend date
First day stock trades without dividend.
Dividend: Holder of record date
Date shareholders must own to receive dividend
Dividend: Payment date
Date checks are mailed to funds transferred.
Dividend discount model
V = \sum (D/ (1+k)^t)
Free cash flow to equity model formula
V = \sum (FCFE/ (1+k)^t)
Free cash flow to equity model
Cash available after a firm meets its debt obligations and necessary capital expenditures
FCFE model rationale
1) Reflects firm’s capacity to pay a dividend
2) This model is useful for firms that currently do not pay a dividend
3) Analyst does not have to project the amount and timing of future dividend payments
Gordon (Constant) Growth Model
V = D / (k - g)
Estimating g in Gordan growth model
g = RR * ROE
where,
RR = earning retention ratio or (1- dividend payout ratio)
Multi-stage DDB
1) For companies experiencing temporary rapid growth
2) Assumes dividend growth will be constant at some future date
Multi-stage DDM method
1) Estimate dividends during growth period
2) Find terminal value using Gordan Growth model
3) Find PV of expected dividends and expected future stock price
Gordon growth model use
1) Stable and mature firms
2) Non-cyclical firms