What are the steps in the rational decision making model
Define the probelm
Identify the criteria
Allocate weights to the criteria
Evaluate the alternatives
Select the best alternative
Explain step 1
discrepancy is the difference between current state and the desired state, the discrepancy is the problem
Explain step 2
Criteria: attributes of the job that are important to you
EG) compensation
meaningfulness
schedule
location
Explain step 3
take criteria and decide how important they are
Explain step 4
develop choices, what are the other options, how mnay choices will you consider
Explain step 5
evaluate all of the choices based on each criteria
(rated weight value) = rating x weight
Explain step 6
Identify the best choice - the one what has the highest value
What are the biases in decision making
framing, escalation of committment, statistical
explain the framing bias
decision makers are swayed by how information is framed/presented - usually in terms of gains or losses (positives/negatives)
explain the escalation of committment bias
individuals or groups persist with a failing course of action, pouring more resources into it despite negative outcomes
explain statistical bias
systematic errors in judgement that effect decision making
what are the strengths of group decision making
-generates more complete information and knowledge
-offers increases diversity of views
-generates higher quality decisions
-leads to increases acceptance of a solution
what are the weaknesses of group decision making
-more time consuming
-conformity pressures in groups
-discussion can be dominated by one or a few members
-decisions suffer from ambiguous responsibility
What are the symptoms of groupthink
Illusion of invulnerablitly
Assumption of mortality
Rationalized resistance
Peer Pressure
Minimized doubts
Illusion of unanimity
Describe illusion of invulnerability
group members become overconfident among themselves, allowing them to take extraordinary risks
Describe assumption of mortality
group members believe highly in the moral rightness of the groups objectives and do not feel the need to debate the ethics of their actions
Describe rationalized restistance
group members rationalize any resistance to the assumptions they have made. No matter how strongly evidence may contradict their basic assumptions, members behave so as to reinforce those assumptions continually
Describe peer pressure
group members apply direct pressure on those who momentarily express doubts about any of the groups shared views or who question the validity of arguements supporting the alternative favoured by the majority
Describe minimized doubts
those group members who have doubts or hold differing points of view seek to avoid deviating from what appears to be a group consensus by keeping silent about misgivings and even minimizing the importance of their doubts
Descibe illusion of unanimity
if someone doesnt speak, it’s assumed that they are in full agreement. In other words, abstention becomes viewed as a yes vote
What are the improved decison making process
brainstorming
nominal group technique
delphi method
describe brainstorming
lots of encouragment for participation, no critics. Just put ideas on the table
describe nominal group technique
step 1- present group with problem/question
step 2- individually write what they think
step 3- each member presents idea infront of other members
step 4– members discuss/debate
++People will play devils advocate
Step 5- go separately and provide another answer
This is will repeat and continue until group is ready to vote
Called nominal because it onvolves not jst group work but individual work as well
describe delphi method
named after the oracle of delphi
-ask group members a specific question, theyll predict whats gonna happen
(theyre the wisdom/theyre the oracle)
-Visit the oracle and ask what they think, theyll provide insight
-Ask first question, they answer, ask another question.
By the end each member in the group knows what everyone is thinking