Iris Tests
Used by regulators to identify insurers that are in need of regulatory attention
Overall Ratios
Tests 1-4
Profitability Ratios
Tests 5-8
Liquidity Ratios
Test 9 and 10
Reserve Ratios Test 11 - 13
IRIS TEST 1
GWP:PHS
Unusual Range > 900
Measures adequacy of surplus on a D&A (GROSS) business (how much premium is surplus supporting)
As premium increases, surplus increase
Use ending surplus.
Dont subtract out ceded WP from the gross.
IRIS TEST 2
NWP: PHS
Unusual Range > 300
measures adequacy of surplus on a net basis
IRIS TEST 3
CHANGE IN NWP = (Curr NWP - Prior NWP) / (Prior NWP)
looking at stability of NWP which could give a meaure of stability of insurer’s operations
Unusual Range > 33
OR
Unusual Range < -33
IRIS TEST 4
SURPLUS AID TO PHS
Surplus Aid : PHS
Where,
Surplus Aid = ceding commission ratio x ceded UEPR (non-addiliated)
Ceding Commis. Ratio = Reins Ceded Comissions / Reins Prem ceded (affil & non-affil)
*above formula is similar to average ceding commis ratio because they may vary by Reinsurer
Unusual Range < 15
IRIS TEST 5
2 YR OVERALL OPERATING RATIO
Measures profitability of insurer and can help identify what is causing poor performance
2 yr overall operating ratio = 2 year LR + 2 year Expense Ratio - 2 year II Ratio
where,
2 year LR = (Net L+LAE + PHDividend over 2 years) / NEP Over 2 years
2 year Expense R = (2 yr Other UW Income - 2 Yr Other Income) / NWP Over 2 years
2 year I.I Ratio = (Net investment income over 2 years) / NEP Over 2 years
Unusual Range < 100
Using 2 years smooths unusual fluctuations
IRIS TEST 6
INVESTMENT YEILD =
2 X (Net II Earned / Cash&Invested assets b/n Curr and Prior yr)
Indicates general quality of investments portfolio
-can possibly identify inefficient or expensive investment strategy
where,
Cash&Invested assets b/n Curr and Prior yr) =
Curr and Prior Year Cash
+ Current and Prior II Due and Accrued
- Current and Piror Year Borrowed Money
- Net II Earned
(note, first three are from balance sheet and 4th item is from income statement)
Unusual Range > 5.5
OR
Unusual Range < 2
IRIS TEST 7
GROSS CHANGE IN PHS = Change in PHS / Prior PHS
Ultimate measure of change in financial condition. Matters to investors the most. Measures the successfulness of the year.
Unusual Range > 50
OR
Unusual Range < -10
IRIS TEST 8
CHANGE IN ADJUSTED PHS - Change in Adjusted PHS / Prior PHS
This ratio measures the change in financial condition based on operational results.
Adjusts surplus for changes contributed to the company by owners or pulled out by owners
where,
Change in Adj PHS =
PHS of curr year
- changes in surplus notes
- capital pain in
- surplus paid in
- PHS at prior YE
Unusual Range > 25
OR
Unusual Range < -10
IRIS TEST 9
ADJUSTED LIABILITIES TO LIQUID ASSETS
Liabilities to liquid assets = adjusted liabilities / liquid assets
measures the insurer’s ability to meet the financial demands.
provides rough indication of the possible implications for policyholders if
liquidation is necessary
where,
adjusted liab = liabilities - liabilities equal to deferred agents balance
liquid assets = liquid assets - investments in parents/ subsidiaries / affiliates
Unusual Range > 100
Liquid Assets consist of: Bonds, Stocks, Cash, Cash-Equivalents, Short Term Investments,
Receivables for Securities, and Investment Income Due & Accrued
IRIS TEST 10
GROSS AGENTS BALANCE TO PHS
Gross AB in course of collection / PHS
Gross AB usually cannot be converted to cash in event of liquidation
Unusual Range > 40
IRIS TEST 11
1 YEAR RESERVE DEVELOPMENT TO PHS = 1 year reserve development / prior PHS
Pulled from Sched P (will be net of sal/sub and gross of DC)
Unusual Range > 20
IRIS TEST 12
2 YEAR RESERVE DEVELOPMENT TO PHS
= 2 year reserve development / prior PHS from 2 years ago
Pulled from Sched P (will be net of sal/sub and gross of DC)
Unusual Range > 20
IRIS TEST 13
ESTIMATED CURRENT RESERVE DEFICIENCY / PHS
Measures adequacy of current reserves.
The ratio is subject to distortion
Where,
Estimated Deficiency = Reserves Required - Curr reserves
Reserves Req = EP x (Ratio of Reserves to Premium)
Ratio of Reserves to Premium = average (prior reserves: premium, 2nd Prior Year Reserves: Premium)
Prior Reserves: Premium= (Prior Reserves:Prem + 1 year development ) / Prior EP
2nd Prior Reserves: Prem = Second year Reserves:Prem + 2 year development ) / Second Prior EP
Unusual Range > 25