Reasoning Flashcards

(60 cards)

1
Q

what is delay discounting / temporal discounting

A

the phenomena where people are impatient and prefer immediate benefits over larger future rewards
–> value of future gains decreases the more we have to wait for them

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2
Q

when do we start to see issues with delay discounting?

A

at childhood
–> Mischel’s marshmallow experiment

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3
Q

what did reserachers see with children who were unable to wait?

A

showed lower standardized test scores and higher rates of behavioural problems

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4
Q

what is self control

A

= crucial executive function of the self that involves initiating, sustaining and inhibiting behaviour.

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5
Q

what is the issue with self control?

A

it takes up some of our limited cognitive energy
–> ego depletion

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6
Q

what are some real life examples of delay discounting?

A

lack of patience, addiction

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7
Q

do self control and delay discounting vary with age?

A

yes, a lot!

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8
Q

what happens during our teen years?

A

tend to have worse self control
–> act more impulsively, worse at inhibiting inappropriate desires, riskier choices with high reward incentives

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9
Q

what happens when we’re 65+?

A

WM, attention, and control all start to decline, which leads to worse decision making abilities
–> HOWEVER they are more patient and tend to make better choices in delayed reward cases

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10
Q

what is reasoning?

A

a process that allows us to gain new knowledge and understanding from existing info

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11
Q

what are the 2 types of reasoning?

A
  • inductive
  • deductive
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12
Q

inductive reasoning

A

Using specific observations, experiences, and real examples to infer general theories about the world

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13
Q

deductive reasoning

A

Moving from general knowledge and principles to more specific knowledge and examples

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14
Q

what is induction? what is it based on?

A

Logic or thought proceeding from specific examples or observations to a general principle
–> always based on probabilistic reasoning

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15
Q

what is property induction?

A

When we generalize properties or features of one exemplar (example) of a category to another member (or all members) of a category

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16
Q

do we see property induction often?

A

yes, most reasoning in everyday falls under this
–> and is critical for learning about the world during childhood

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17
Q

what factors make us more likely to accept a conclusion?

A
  • premise-conclusion similarity
  • premise typicality
  • premise diversity
  • premise monotonicity

–> these are seen even in children!

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18
Q

premise conclusion similarity

A

more likely to accept a conclusion if the premise is similar to the conclusion

–> Accepting that gorillas have property x after being told that orangutans have it

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19
Q

premise typicality

A

more likely to accept a conclusion if the premise is about a typical representative of a category

–> Accepting that birds have property x bc crows have it and are typical of birds

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20
Q

premise diversity

A

more likely to accept a conclusion if the premise includes aspects of diversity

–> if you are told that the French and Chinese both celebrate thanksgiving, you’re more likely to generalize this to the world than if told the French and Belgians

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21
Q

premise monotonicity

A

more likely to accept a conclusion if the premise includes many different examples

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22
Q

what does deductive reasoning typically lead to?

A

TRUE conclusions, assuming the premises themselves are true and we’re utilizing logic correactly

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23
Q

what are 2 valid arguments in deductive reasoning?

A
  • modus ponens
  • modus tollens
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24
Q

modus ponens

A

affirming the antecedent
If P then Q; P; Then Q

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25
modus tollens
denying the consequent If P then Q; not Q; Then not P
26
what are 2 common pitfalls related to modus ponens tollens?
- denial of the antecedent - affirmation of the consequent
27
denial of the antecedent
assuming that, if P is false, then Q must also be false
28
affirmation of the consequent
assuming that if Q, then P
29
syllogisms
Logical system devised by Aristotle, in which a conclusion is drawn from 2 given propositions called premises
30
when do we find these types of syllogistic arguments easier?
when they're placed in semantically rich and realistic contexts --> our brain is wired to hire this type of problems --> not abstract ones
31
what is a main limit to deductive reasoning?
the premises themselves might be wrong
32
what is the wason selection task
you have 4 cards: E, K, 4 and 7 --> conditional rule: if there is a vowel on one side of the card, then there is an even number on the other side of the card
33
what are the 2 approaches to the wason task?
1. confirmatory approach --> turn over E or 4 and assume to see either a vowel or even # 2. disconfirmation approach --> turn over the 7 and if you get a vowel, the rule is wrong --> this is the actual logical way to do it
34
what approaches do people typically take with the wason task?
confirmatory approach --> confirmation bias
35
confirmation bias
Favoring of evidence that supports one’s beliefs, expectations or hypotheses --> happens unconciously and often leads to polarization
36
causal reasoning
= Ability to understand why something happens, to determine the causes of specific effects --> must estimate the likelihood of causes given evidence
37
what do causal relationships typically have?
directionality --> cause preceeds effects --> we know this intuitively --> and are able to identify causal relationships when in cause-effect order
38
what is causal launching?
causation related to one direction --> one object is responsible for the other moving --> even infants recognize this
39
motion bounce illusion
sound affects vision --> The exact same motion is interpreted differently based on the sound cue
40
does the presence of a cause guarantee an effect?
nope --> this makes them hard to determine --> If you’re exposed to someone who is sick, whether or not you get sick depends on a bunch of factors, not just the sick person --> causes are also typically unobservable which just makes our life harder
41
how do we represent cause-effect relationships?
A causes B = A --> B → Strength of the relation can be listed as probabilistic weight (0, weak - 1, strong) → can be organized into causal models
42
what are causal models
networks of interconnected relationships
43
what does causal learning / induction entail?
learning cause-effect relationships from observations
44
what are some cues that we use to determine causal relationships (4)
1. covariation 2. temporal order 3. intervention 4. prior knowledge
45
covariation
the likelihood of two events occurring together --> necessary but not sufficient for causality
46
temporal order
the arrangement of events over time --> doesn't guarantee a causal relationship tho
47
intervention
actually intervening in one variable and seeing if the other is affected --> only way to 100% determine causality --> this is literally just our experiments
48
prior knowledge
also called causal mechanism --> influences causal reasoning
49
what type of features do we consider more important in a relationship between 2 varaibles?
causal features as more important --> IF A causes B which causes C, we view A as more central than C
50
what are illusory correlations
= When people make connections between variables that have no relation to each other --> ppl are very sensitive to covariation
51
when are illusory correlations most present?
with statistically infrequent events, as they stand out
52
when are illusory correlations least common?
when the reason behind a fact or event is obvious
53
counterfactual reasoning
Considering alternative outcomes, contrary to what has already occurred in reality
54
why is counterfactual reasoning important?
- people use mental replay to understand the causes of events - important for disciplines where we can't conduct experiments like economics - helps us understand past events and plan for future behaviour - also important for coping in the clinical setting
55
Bayesian reasoning
= The process of inferring new knowledge under uncertain circumstances. Estimating the probability of a hypothesis being true based on the evidence at hand and our knowledge of the world
56
what is always present in Bayesian reasoning?
uncertainty, sparse input, probabilism
57
is Bayesian reasoning flexible?
yes, 100% --> it happens for all kinds of problems --> and helps capture the essence of how we reason
58
what is one real world example of Bayesian reasoning
woman has a 0.8% chance of having breast cancer if she does, there is a 90% change of positive result in mamogram if she does not, there is a 7% chance of a positive result what is the approximate likelihood that a positive mamogram actually denotes breast cancer? people, even doctors, tend to estimate way too high due to the conditional variable the actual answer is 9%
59
how can we improve our ability with conditional probabilities?
by using frequencies instead of probabilities
60
what is categorization
learn labels for objects and must infer what other objects can be named with the same label