Conceptually what is cost of equity?
Returns from stock price increases and dividends
Conceptually what is cost of debt?
Returns from interest and mv of debt changing
What is WACC formula?
CoE * %E + CoD * (1-T) * %D + Cost of preferred stock * %Prefered stock
Why do we add prefered stock seperately?
BC it is not tax deductible and more expensive but similar to debt
How to determine %E for WACC?
Public:
- Look at EQV and debt and calc %
- Mcap as weight
Private:
- Compare to other companies through multiples
- backsolve the dcf
- assume generic ratio
How to determine cost of debt?
Public:
- YTM on its long term bonds: YTM*(1-T)
- Risk free rate+Average yield spread (if it has credit rating)
- interest exp/ debt or average debt (quick approximation)
- Credit swaps
Private:
- Look at bonds of comparable companies
- Look at credit spreads of comparable companies
- Use weighted average interest of the loans
- Compute Interest cov ratio and use it as synthetic rating. Use corresponding market yield for that rating and then use tax shield
How to determine cost of equity
Public:
- Capm
- Farma French (factor size and value)
- Dividend Discount Model ( Coe = (Div next year/current share price) + long term growth
- Projected NI/ MCap
Private:
- Capm
- Implied IRR (for PE owned)
What risk free rate to choose if country is not AAA?
What happens to CF if WACC increases or decreases?
If wacc increases, cf fall, so TEV falls
If wacc decreases, cf increases, so TEV increases
How would you rank the strongest drivers in a dcf?
How to select Beta?
What is raw and adjusted beta?
Raw beta is deirectly calc from regression
Historical Beta is the same but based on past data (2- 4 Years)
Adjusted beta is: 2/3 * raw beta + 1/3 * 1
Why do we adjust beta?
What are current betas?
What are the limitations of WACC
Are leases part of WACC?
Yes finance leases but often times too small to really affect them
Ignore operating leases in WACC
Does higher tax rate increase or decreseve TEV
Usually decreases TEV, bc despite WACC decreasing CF also decreases
What is the difference between effective and marginal tax rate?
And which to use for dcf?
Effective: represent the % of taxable income corporate must paz in taxes
Historical: Taxes Paid/ Earnings before Taxes
Marginal: taxation % on the last dollar of a companys taxable income
depends on statutory tax and jurisdiction as tax bracket is adjsuted
For forecasting purposes, do you use the effective or marginal tax rate?
Recommend: look at historicals and base tax rate assumptions on effectuve tax rate, but for TV normalize it to be close to marginal tax rate
How does a lower tax rate impact the valuation from a DCF?