WACC Deep Dive Flashcards

(20 cards)

1
Q

Conceptually what is cost of equity?

A

Returns from stock price increases and dividends

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2
Q

Conceptually what is cost of debt?

A

Returns from interest and mv of debt changing

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3
Q

What is WACC formula?

A

CoE * %E + CoD * (1-T) * %D + Cost of preferred stock * %Prefered stock

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4
Q

Why do we add prefered stock seperately?

A

BC it is not tax deductible and more expensive but similar to debt

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5
Q

How to determine %E for WACC?

A

Public:
- Look at EQV and debt and calc %
- Mcap as weight

Private:
- Compare to other companies through multiples
- backsolve the dcf
- assume generic ratio

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6
Q

How to determine cost of debt?

A

Public:
- YTM on its long term bonds: YTM*(1-T)
- Risk free rate+Average yield spread (if it has credit rating)
- interest exp/ debt or average debt (quick approximation)
- Credit swaps

Private:
- Look at bonds of comparable companies
- Look at credit spreads of comparable companies
- Use weighted average interest of the loans
- Compute Interest cov ratio and use it as synthetic rating. Use corresponding market yield for that rating and then use tax shield

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7
Q

How to determine cost of equity

A

Public:
- Capm
- Farma French (factor size and value)
- Dividend Discount Model ( Coe = (Div next year/current share price) + long term growth
- Projected NI/ MCap

Private:
- Capm
- Implied IRR (for PE owned)

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8
Q

What risk free rate to choose if country is not AAA?

A
  • Value in stable currency ( use risk free rate of that currency and add country risk premium)
  • Value in local currency and use sovereign bond yield - default spread
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9
Q

What happens to CF if WACC increases or decreases?

A

If wacc increases, cf fall, so TEV falls

If wacc decreases, cf increases, so TEV increases

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10
Q

How would you rank the strongest drivers in a dcf?

A
  1. Cash flows
    10% increase roughly translates into a 10% in EV
  2. WACC
    Non linear effect but exponential, can move changes up to 10-30%
  3. Growth rate
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11
Q

How to select Beta?

A
  • Comparables approach
    1. Get from BB or Factset levered betas
    2. unlever each beta
    3. compute median
    4. Relever the beta
  • Using sector averages (Damodaran Online)
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12
Q

What is raw and adjusted beta?

A

Raw beta is deirectly calc from regression

Historical Beta is the same but based on past data (2- 4 Years)

Adjusted beta is: 2/3 * raw beta + 1/3 * 1

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13
Q

Why do we adjust beta?

A
  • Mean reversion, companies beta tend to move to 1 over time
  • adjustment anticipates this pull
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14
Q

What are current betas?

A
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15
Q

What are the limitations of WACC

A
  • Difficult in practice
  • Difficult to apply to specific projects or SOTP
  • Use of historical data/ Valuation is forward looking
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16
Q

Are leases part of WACC?

A

Yes finance leases but often times too small to really affect them

Ignore operating leases in WACC

17
Q

Does higher tax rate increase or decreseve TEV

A

Usually decreases TEV, bc despite WACC decreasing CF also decreases

18
Q

What is the difference between effective and marginal tax rate?

And which to use for dcf?

A

Effective: represent the % of taxable income corporate must paz in taxes
Historical: Taxes Paid/ Earnings before Taxes

Marginal: taxation % on the last dollar of a companys taxable income
depends on statutory tax and jurisdiction as tax bracket is adjsuted

19
Q

For forecasting purposes, do you use the effective or marginal tax rate?

A
  • effective tax rate will be lower than the marginal tax rate, mainly because many
    companies will defer paying the government.

Recommend: look at historicals and base tax rate assumptions on effectuve tax rate, but for TV normalize it to be close to marginal tax rate

20
Q

How does a lower tax rate impact the valuation from a DCF?

A
  1. Greater Cash flow
  2. Higher cost of debt
  3. Higher Beta: