supply
-the quantity of an item that is available, or anticipated to be available for sale
price
-a function of the number of items available in relation to the number of items in demand
the supply of real estate is affected by these factors
-availability of materials
-availability of skilled labor
-availability of construction loans and financing
-availability of land
-increased productivity
availability of materials
-a decrease in the availability of materials can increase the cost of materials and drive up builder’s costs
availability of skilled labor
-a decrease in the availability of skilled labor can increase labor costs and drive up the cost of new construction to the point where new construction prices are prohibitive
availability of construction loans and financing
-as interest rates on construction loans rise, the cost of borrowing money escalates and builder’s costs increase
availability of land
-a shortage in the supply of available land can drive up the cost of acquiring land for new development
increased productivity
-increased productivity can result in increase in supply
supply of real estate includes the following four categories
-the number of vacant properties for sale
-the number of properties that are under construction but not finished
-properties that have been permitted but not constructed
-projects that have been announced but not permitted
net household formations
-the basic measure of demand for residential real estate is net household formations which is the net difference between the number of households expected to be created within a period of time and the number of households expected to be eliminated during that same period of time
living units
-the US bureau of Census defines a household as a “living unit”
-net household formation is a measure of living units, not population
factors of demand
-price
-income
-credit
-population
-consumer preferences
price
-principally the result of the interaction of material and labor costs
-demand will typically decrease as prices rise
income
-demand is fueled by income
-effective demand is the combination of a buyer’s desire for an item that is coupled with the ability to pay for the item
-demand is not created until both components are met
credit
-as credit becomes more readily available and interest rates go down, demand increases
-the availability of credit is said to be a key market indicator, often referred to as the barometer of the real estate market
population
-as population grows, so does demand
consumer preferences
-demand is influenced by changes in preference
market equilibrium
-market equilibrium is said to occur when supply and demand are in balance
-when there are more buyers than sellers, a seller’s market exists
-when there are more sellers than buyers, a buyer’s market exists
the real estate business cycle
-expansion
-peak
-contraction
-trough
expansion
-both supply and demand increase
-market is vibrant during this period
-this period is typically evidenced by increasing prices since supply cannot keep up with increasing demand
peak
-generally short lived and evidenced by a drop in demand
-as demand declines, supply continues to increase, and an oversupply becomes evident
contraction
-evidenced by a decline in supply from levels at the peak of the market
-some demand is still present, but the available supply is more than adequate to meet that demand
-contraction continues until oversupply is absorbed
trough
-the low end of the cycle where supply and demand are nearly static