How have hazard trends changed since 1960?
-Number of disasters reported has increased
-The total number of deaths fluctuates between years
-The economic costs of hazards have increased
Why have the number of disasters reported increased?
-More advanced technology
-Climate change increased likelihood of hydrological events
-Increased population
Why can all hazard statistics not be trusted?
-Corrupt governments that lie
-Undocumented people not included
-Accuracy of statistics has increased over time
-Remote locations, unknown
-Difficult to collect data in remote/dense areas
3 types of governance
Economic, political, administrative
Park’s model
A model which shows how a country can recover from a disaster/hazard event through resilience and management
The four stages of Park’s model
Pre-disaster, relief, rehabilitation, reconstruction
Limitations of Park’s model
-focus on social elements over economic
-also affected by physical factors eg multiple hazard zones
-subjective and vague classification for what normality/deterioration is
The four stages of the hazard management cycle
Mitigation, preparation, response, recovery
Ways to forecast/predict earthquakes
-Using historical data to forecast
-Models mapping magma movement
-Patterns in seismic activity
-Animal behaviour eg. snakes
Ways to forecast/predict volcanic eruptions
-Measuring ground deformation
-Patterns in seismic activity
-Using historical data to forecast
-Measuring changes in gas emissions
3 stages of disaster management
Modifying the event, vulnerability, the loss
Modifying the event (volcanoes)
Diverting or cooling lava flows eg. Heimaey 1973
Modifying the event (earthquake)
-Protecting buildings and facilities
-Improving planning frameworks for houses
-Retrofitting hazardous buildings eg. steel brackets
-Tsunami walls and planting mangroves as a buffer
Modifying the vulnerability
-Prediction, forecasting, warnings
-Improved community preparedness
-Land-use planning
Modifying the loss
Insurance, emergency relief and disaster aid
Players in disaster management
National and local government, IGOs, Educators, NGOs, Emergency services, Architects, Locals, Scientists, Insurance companies
Sendai Framework, March 2015
replaced the 2005 World Conference on Disaster Reduction, and had 4 priorities to understand risk, strengthen governance, invest in disaster-risk reduction, ‘build back better’