Midterm 2 - Chapter 11 Flashcards

(36 cards)

1
Q

Decision Making

A

the process of developing a commitment to some course of action.2 Three things are noteworthy about this definition

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2
Q

Problem

A

a gap is perceived between some existing state and some desired state

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3
Q

Well-Structured Problems

A

the existing state is clear, the desired state is clear, and how to get from one state to the other is fairly obvious

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4
Q

Program

A

a standardized way of solving a problem

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5
Q

Ill-Structured Problems

A

the existing and desired states are unclear and the method of getting to the desired state (even if clarified) is unknown

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6
Q

Rational Decision-making process

A

1.Idenity Problem
2. Search for Relevant Information
3. Develop Alternative Solutions to the Problem
4. Evaluate Alternative Solutions
5. Choose best alternative
6. Implement Chosen Solution
7. Monitor and Evaluate Chosen solution

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7
Q

Perfect Rationality

A

Can gather information about problems and solutions without cost and is thus completely informed.
Is perfectly logical
Has only one criterion for decision making: economic gain.

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8
Q

Bounded Rationality

A

they try to act rationally, but they are limited in their capacity to acquire and process information

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9
Q

Framing

A

aspects of the presentation of information about a problem that are assumed by decision makers

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10
Q

Cognitive Biases

A

tendencies to acquire and process information in a particular way that is prone to error.

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11
Q

Problem Identification and Framing

A

Perpetual defense
Problem defined in terms of functional specialty
Problem defined in terms of solution
Problem diagnosed in terms of symptoms

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12
Q

Information Search: what happens when we have too little information

A

Availability bias
Confirmation bias
Not-inverted-here bias

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13
Q

Availability bias

A

we favour information that can be accessed quickly and easily, and we thus tend to remember vivid recent events

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14
Q

Confirmation bias

A

the tendency to seek out information that conforms to one’s own definition of or solution to a problem

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15
Q

Not-invented-here bias

A

the tendency to ignore or harbour negative attitudes toward ideas from outside one’s own organization or project team.

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16
Q

Too Much Information

A

Information Overload: reception of more information than is necessary to make effective decisions

17
Q

Maximation

A

can choose the alternative with the greatest expected value

18
Q

Anchoring effect

A

decision makers do not adjust their estimates enough from some initial estimate that serves as an (often irrelevant) anchor

19
Q

Satisficing

A

decision maker establishes an adequate level of acceptability for a solution and then screens solutions until one is found that exceeds this level

20
Q

Risk Cultures

A

a common understanding of how much risk is tolerated and how risk is framed in terms of potential for gain and loss.

21
Q

Sunk costs

A

permanent losses of resources incurred as the result of a decision

22
Q

Escalation of commitment

A

escalation involves devoting more and more resources to actions implied by the decision

23
Q

Hindsight

A

tendency to review the decision-making process that was used to find out what was done right (in the case of success) or wrong (in the case of failure)

24
Q

Decision Quality (Whether to use groups or not)

A

Groups are more vigilant than individuals are—more people are scanning the environment.
Groups can generate more ideas than individuals can.
Due to checks and balances, groups can evaluate ideas better than individuals can.

25
Decision Acceptance and Commitment
People wish to be involved in decisions that will affect them. People will better understand a decision in which they participated. People will be more committed to a decision in which they invested personal time and energy.
26
Diffusion of Responsibility
where individuals are less likely to take action or feel personal accountability in a group setting, assuming others will intervene
27
Disadvantages of Group Decision Making
Time Conflict Domination Groupthink
28
Groupthink (disadvanatge)
Illusion of invulnerability Rationalization Illusion of morality Stereotypes of outsiders Pressure for conformity Self-censorship Illusion of unanimity Mindguards
29
Devil's Advocate
challenge existing plans and strategies.
30
How Groups Handle Risks
Risky shift Conservative shift
31
Risky shift
Participants in the research reviewed cases involving risk, such as those involving career choices or investment decisions
32
Conservative shifts
groups came to decisions that were less risky than those of the individual members before interaction.
33
Evidence-based Management
“making decisions through the conscientious, explicit, and judicious use of the best available evidence from multiple sources
34
Crowdsourcing
involves “outsourcing” aspects of a decision process to a large collection of people.
35
Analytics
finding meaningful patterns in large datasets using conventional statistics, mathematical modelling, and various techniques to represent data visually
36
Big data
copious amounts of information that are often collected in real time and can come from a wide variety of sources, particularly digital