CALIBRATE

Question 1

What is the CALIBRATE model?

Answer 1

Matching your confidence to reality so that you are less overconfident, less underconfident, and less self-deceived. Its core process is: Clarify the judgment; Assign confidence; List reasons; Inspect outside checks; Be updated by results; Record patterns; Ask better self-questions; Tune confidence; Embed in review.

Question 2

What problem is the CALIBRATE model designed to solve?

Answer 2

Matching your confidence to reality so that you are less overconfident, less underconfident, and less self-deceived.

Question 3

What are the steps of the CALIBRATE model?

Answer 3

Clarify the judgment; Assign confidence; List reasons; Inspect outside checks; Be updated by results; Record patterns; Ask better self-questions; Tune confidence; Embed in review.

Question 4

What is the master question for the CALIBRATE model?

Answer 4

How sure am I, what earns that certainty, and how will I know if my confidence was justified?

Question 5

When should I use the CALIBRATE model?

Answer 5

Use it when making predictions, judging your learning, estimating time, making bets, or evaluating your own performance.

Question 6

What mistake does the CALIBRATE model try to prevent?

Answer 6

It prevents treating gut feeling as evidence and confusing familiarity with true mastery.

Question 7

What is the one-line rule of the CALIBRATE model?

Answer 7

Make the judgment explicit, rate your confidence, test it against reality, and learn from the mismatch.

Question 8

How do I know I am using the CALIBRATE model correctly?

Answer 8

You are using it correctly if your confidence becomes more accurate and your errors become more visible.