12 Flashcards

(62 cards)

1
Q

What are the four main patterns that comprise every bull or bear chart according to the market cycle?

A

Breakout, tight channel, broad channel, and trading range.

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2
Q

A strong breakout is characterized by very little _____ among the bars and an absence of significant pullbacks.

A

overlap

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3
Q

What type of channel is described as having very brief pullbacks, often lasting only one to three bars?

A

A tight bull or bear channel.

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4
Q

How does a tight bull channel on a 5-minute chart typically appear on a 60-minute chart?

A

As a strong breakout, possibly represented by just a few consecutive bull trend bars.

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5
Q

In which market cycle phase can traders potentially make money both buying and selling, even though the market is in an overall trend?

A

A broad bull or bear channel.

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6
Q

A trading range is essentially a broad channel that is flat or _____.

A

horizontal

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7
Q

What is the primary advantage of entering a trade during a breakout?

A

The market quickly goes in your favor, allowing you to make a profit quickly.

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8
Q

What is the main disadvantage of buying late into a strong bull breakout?

A

Your stop is far below, meaning your risk is greater.

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9
Q

High probability trades, such as buying in a strong breakout, are always associated with what kind of risk/reward profile?

A

A bad risk/reward profile.

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10
Q

What is the most important rule for traders during a strong bull breakout?

A

Do not sell.

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11
Q

What is the key difference between a breakout and a tight channel on a given timeframe?

A

A tight channel has pullbacks, whereas a breakout has no significant pullbacks.

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12
Q

In a tight bull channel, why is it very difficult to make money selling?

A

The pullbacks are very brief, and the market is clearly always in long.

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13
Q

What is the primary risk for a trader who chooses to scalp in a strong trend like a breakout or tight channel?

A

They might take a small profit and then miss the rest of the much larger trade.

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14
Q

In a broad bull channel, pullbacks can last for five, ten, or even _____ bars.

A

20

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15
Q

In a broad bull channel, where do bulls typically take profits?

A

At new highs.

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16
Q

What is the recommended trading strategy for beginners in a broad bull channel?

A

They should only be looking to buy.

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17
Q

A pullback is considered to have evolved into a trading range when it lasts for how many bars?

A

20 or more bars.

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18
Q

Once a pullback lasts 20 or more bars, the probability of a bull breakout becomes roughly equal to that of a _____ breakout.

A

bear

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19
Q

What is the general trading strategy in a trading range?

A

Buy low, sell high, and scalp for quick profits.

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20
Q

Approximately what percentage of breakout attempts fail within a trading range?

A

0.8

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21
Q

What is the most important rule for traders during a strong bear breakout?

A

Do not buy.

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22
Q

A tight bear channel on a 5-minute chart would likely appear as a _____ on a 60-minute chart.

A

breakout

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23
Q

In a broad bear channel, when does the probability of a reversal up versus trend resumption down become roughly 50/50?

A

When a pullback retraces about two-thirds of the way up from the prior selloff.

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24
Q

What is the first event that signals a breakout phase is transitioning into a channel phase?

A

The occurrence of a pullback.

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25
A pullback in a bull trend is defined as a bar's low going below the _____ of a prior bar.
low
26
Traders who buy as the market is going up, simply because it is going up, are known as what type of traders?
Momentum traders.
27
Traders who prefer to buy on pullbacks to reduce their risk, accepting a slightly lower probability of profit, are known as what type of traders?
Value traders.
28
Al Brooks states that approximately 75% of bull channels will ultimately have a _____ breakout and evolve into a trading range.
bear
29
What does it signify when bear scalpers can start making money by selling at prior highs in a bull channel?
It is a sign that the channel is beginning to transition into a trading range.
30
A pullback in a bear trend is defined as a bar's high going above the _____ of the prior bar.
high
31
What is the significance of stop order bears making money in a bull channel?
It increases the chances that the market is leaving the channel phase and entering the trading range phase.
32
Approximately 75% of bear channels are considered _____ flags, meaning they are likely to have a bull breakout.
bull
33
What does it indicate when limit order bulls start making money in a bear trend?
It is the first sign the channel is weakening and might be transitioning into a trading range.
34
According to Al Brooks's 80% rule, markets have _____, meaning they tend to continue what they have been doing.
inertia
35
In a trend, 80% of _____ attempts will fail and become flags.
reversal
36
In a trading range, 80% of _____ attempts will fail.
breakout
37
When can you assume a market is in a trading range based on analyzing buy and sell setups?
When you can identify both a reasonable buy setup and a reasonable sell setup in the same area.
38
A trading range on a 1-minute chart that is part of a larger trend on a 5-minute chart is called a _____ on the 5-minute chart.
pullback
39
What happens to the influence of a prior trend as a pullback grows to 20 or more bars?
The prior trend loses its influence, and the market becomes increasingly neutral.
40
Any move on a chart, up or down, can be referred to as a _____.
leg
41
A leg that is large enough for a trader to make a swing profit is called a _____.
swing
42
What is a major higher low?
A higher low that is followed by a strong breakout, usually to a new high.
43
Where do bulls in a trend typically raise their protective stop to?
Just below the most recent major higher low.
44
What is the likely outcome if the market falls below a major higher low?
The bull trend has likely evolved into a trading range or possibly a bear trend.
45
A higher low that does not lead to a strong bull breakout is known as a _____ higher low.
minor
46
Can a market fall below a minor higher low and still be considered in a bull trend?
Yes, as long as it holds above the most recent major higher low.
47
What is a major lower high?
A lower high that is followed by a strong breakout to a new low.
48
What happens to a bear trend if the market rallies above a major lower high?
Most traders would consider the bear trend to be over, likely converting into a trading range.
49
A market move that goes above minor lower highs but fails to break above a major lower high is likely a bull leg in a _____.
trading range or bear trend
50
Any pause in a trend where traders expect the trend to resume is called a _____.
pullback
51
A pullback is also a small _____.
trading range
52
In a bull trend, what is the technical definition of a pullback on the same timeframe?
A bar's low falls below the low of the prior bar.
53
What is an 'implied' or 'inferred' pullback?
A bar (like a single bull bar in a bear trend) that represents a pullback on a lower timeframe chart.
54
A one-bar trading range within a strong trend is typically classified as a _____.
pullback
55
What is a key hallmark of a trading range in terms of trader sentiment?
Confusion, where it's unclear if the market will go up or down.
56
After a market has been in a trading range for 20 or more bars, it is said to be in _____ mode.
breakout
57
What is the purpose of structuring trading decisions as binary choices (e.g., trend or trading range)?
It makes it easier and quicker to decide on an appropriate trading strategy.
58
If you cannot tell if a channel is broad or tight, what should you assume?
Assume that it's tight and only trade in the direction of the trend.
59
Buying a minor reversal in a strong bear trend should only be done for what type of trade?
A scalp.
60
In which two market cycle phases is it generally best to only trade in the direction of the trend?
A breakout and a tight channel.
61
In a trading range, bears sell high to initiate shorts, while bulls sell high to do what?
To take profits on longs bought near the bottom.
62
In a trading range, bulls buy low to initiate longs, while bears buy low to do what?
To buy back their shorts for a profit.