14 Flashcards

(77 cards)

1
Q

According to Al Brooks, what is the most important feature of a bull trend?

A

It needs to have higher lows.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
2
Q

According to Al Brooks, what is the most important feature of a bear trend?

A

It needs to have lower highs.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
3
Q

All trends, no matter how steep, are contained within _____.

A

channels

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
4
Q

In a rising channel, what is the term for the bottom line?

A

The trend line (or bull trend line).

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
5
Q

In a rising channel, what is the term Al Brooks uses for the top line?

A

The trend channel line.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
6
Q

When Al Brooks uses the word ‘trend’, what is he typically referring to?

A

A major trend, of which there are at most one or two on a chart at any time.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
7
Q

What does Al Brooks call smaller trends that are not major trends?

A

He usually refers to them as swings or legs.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
8
Q

What are the two key characteristics of a major higher low?

A

It has a very strong bull breakout and usually results in a new high.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
9
Q

In a bull trend, where is the correct location for a trader’s protective stop?

A

Below the bottom of the most recent major higher low.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
10
Q

Why is placing a stop below a minor higher low a bad strategy in a bull trend?

A

You will too often get stopped out before the market resumes its upward trend.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
11
Q

If the market falls below a major higher low, what has likely happened to the bull trend?

A

The bull trend has probably ended and converted into a trading range or a bear trend.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
12
Q

If the market falls below a minor higher low in a tight bull channel, what is the likely outcome for the trend?

A

The market is likely converting into a broader, flatter bull channel.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
13
Q

Why are higher lows considered more important than higher highs in a bull trend?

A

Because the higher lows determine where traders place their protective stops.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
14
Q

In a bear trend, where should a trader’s protective stop be placed?

A

Above the top of the most recent major lower high.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
15
Q

A two-legged pullback in a bear trend that goes above a minor lower high is often a _____.

A

low two short or double top bear flag

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
16
Q

After a strong breakout to a new low in a bear trend, the prior peak becomes a _____ and a good location to move a stop to.

A

major lower high

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
17
Q

A tight bear channel breakout, where the market breaks below the bottom of the channel, will reverse up what percentage of the time?

A

75% of the time.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
18
Q

What is the typical outcome of the first breakout of a tight channel (e.g., below a bear channel)?

A

It usually results in a minor reversal and a trading range, rather than a strong trend in the opposite direction.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
19
Q

Even if a broad bear channel has rallies strong enough to be considered ‘always in long’, the trend is likely to resume as long as what condition holds?

A

The rallies fail to get above a major lower high.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
20
Q

When a chart is not clearly in a bull or bear trend, you should assume it is in a _____.

A

trading range

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
21
Q

What is the ‘80% rule’ as it applies to trends?

A

When a market is in a trend, it is constantly trying to reverse, but 80% of the reversal attempts will fail.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
22
Q

What is the ‘80% rule’ as it applies to trading ranges?

A

80% of breakout attempts from a trading range will fail.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
23
Q

What is a key hallmark of a trading range?

A

The market is not clear, and both bulls and bears have reasonable arguments.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
24
Q

Besides pullbacks, what other structures are considered small trading ranges within a larger trend?

A

Pauses in a trend.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
25
Once a pullback or trading range within a trend extends for about 20 bars, the probability of a reversal becomes almost as high as what?
The probability that the trend will resume.
26
The strongest phase of a trend, which can be as small as one bar, is known as the _____ phase.
breakout
27
What is a major difficulty for beginners when trading a breakout?
They must use a wide stop, which means the risk is great.
28
According to Al Brooks, what do beginners focus on to their detriment, causing them to miss trends?
They focus exclusively on risk and are always looking for the tightest possible stop.
29
Why do beginners often wait for pullbacks in a strong trend instead of buying at the market?
They believe the stop is too big and they cannot afford to risk that much.
30
In a very tight bull channel, pullbacks are mostly caused by what action?
Profit-taking from bulls.
31
When a trend channel is very tight, the first reversal attempt is usually minor and will become a _____.
bull flag (in a bull trend) or bear flag (in a bear trend)
32
In a strong bull trend, why is a beginner selling a reversal down taking a low-probability trade?
Because 80% of reversal attempts in a strong trend fail and become bull flags.
33
In a tight bull channel, what are smart bulls doing when beginners are selling the first significant pullback?
They are waiting to buy the pullback, viewing it as a bull flag.
34
A trade with a very small risk, such as a tight stop, will always have _____.
low probability
35
What is the result of taking many low-risk, low-probability trades that fail?
Many small losses add up to a big loss.
36
In a strong, 'always in long' trend, what is the only action traders should be looking to take?
They should only be looking to buy.
37
Markets will often go much further than what seems rational to find out what?
How far 'too far' is.
38
Al Brooks classifies trends as being in one of two phases: the breakout phase or the _____ phase.
channel
39
What is another term Al Brooks uses for the breakout, or strongest part, of a trend?
A spike.
40
A trend pattern that begins with a strong breakout and is followed by a weaker, two-sided move is called a _____.
spike and channel trend
41
A channel is a weaker type of trend characterized by _____ trading.
two-sided
42
What is a 'microchannel'?
A series of bars in a trend with no pullbacks (e.g., an 11-bar bull microchannel has no bear bars).
43
A tight channel on a lower timeframe chart (e.g., 5-minute) represents what on a higher timeframe chart (e.g., 30-minute)?
A strong breakout.
44
What is an 'endless pullback'?
A pullback within a trend that goes on for 20-30 bars or more, looking like a channel.
45
When bulls finally give up during an 'endless pullback' in a bull trend, what often happens?
A big bear breakout occurs, which often becomes a measuring gap for a move down.
46
What is the probability that a bear channel will have a bull breakout?
0.75
47
Because of its high probability of a bull breakout, every bear channel should also be thought of as a potential _____.
bull flag
48
What is the probability that a bull channel will have a bear breakout?
0.75
49
Every bull channel should also be thought of as a potential _____.
bear flag
50
Typically, after a spike and channel pattern, a breakout of the channel in the opposite direction will test what area?
The beginning of the channel.
51
Why do beginners get 'trapped into' selling strong bull trends?
Because the risk (stop size) is small, and they ignore the extremely low probability of success.
52
Why do beginners get 'trapped out of' buying strong bull trends?
Because the correct stop is far away, making the risk seem too large.
53
What is a 'Trend from the Open'?
A trend that begins on or near the first bar of the trading session and continues in one direction.
54
An 11-bar bull microchannel on the open indicates _____ on the part of the bulls.
urgency
55
After a very strong breakout on the open lasting about an hour, what does the market usually do for several hours?
It usually goes sideways in a trading range.
56
What is a 'trending trading range day'?
A day characterized by a trading range, a brief breakout, followed by another trading range.
57
In a trending trading range day, what is the probability that a new trading range will overlap with the prior one?
60% of the time.
58
In a trending trading range day, what does it signify if there is a gap between two consecutive ranges (no overlap)?
It is a sign of strength in the direction of the trend.
59
A broad channel trend with pullbacks that consistently go above the prior breakout point is called a _____ pattern.
stairs
60
What does a 'stairs' pattern indicate about the strength of a trend?
It is a sign of a weak trend and that the market will probably enter a trading range soon.
61
In a broad bull channel, where do bulls typically look to buy?
In the middle third of the prior bull leg up.
62
In a broad bull channel, where do bears look to sell for scalps?
At new highs, often scaling in.
63
What is meant by 'shrinking stairs' in a trend?
The size of each new breakout (each 'step') is smaller than the last, indicating a loss of momentum.
64
When you see shrinking stairs, you should anticipate that the channel is ending and will soon evolve into a _____.
trading range
65
If it is difficult to tell whether a trend is a breakout or a tight channel, how should you treat it?
Assume it is a breakout and only trade in the direction of the trend.
66
What defines a 'small pullback trend'?
It is a strong trend where the pullbacks are very small, typically lasting only a few bars and not falling very far.
67
What is the strongest type of trend according to Al Brooks?
A small pullback trend.
68
What is a key visual characteristic of a small pullback bull trend?
It often looks like a weak bull leg in a trading range, with many dojis and small bars.
69
What is one of the most important characteristics that confirms a small pullback trend?
The formation of gaps, where pullbacks do not overlap prior breakout points.
70
A small pullback trend on a 5-minute chart is a _____ on a 30-minute chart.
breakout
71
In a small pullback trend, a breakout late in the day that is 50-100% bigger than any prior breakout is often what?
A failed reversal attempt that becomes a bull flag (in a bull trend).
72
An extremely climactic, unsustainable trend with an accelerating slope is often a _____.
parabolic wedge
73
When a small pullback bull trend finally has its first test of the 20-bar moving average after staying above it for many bars, what will bulls likely do?
They will buy the test of the moving average.
74
The setup where the market stays above the moving average for 20 or more bars is called a _____.
20 Gap Bar buy setup
75
What is a 'surprise bar'?
One of the best-looking trend bars that occurs late in a trend, signaling a risk of exhaustion.
76
A surprise bar late in a bull trend does not necessarily lead to a reversal, but it often leads to a _____.
trading range
77
If you cannot tell if a channel is broad or tight, what should you assume?
Assume it is a tight channel and only look to trade in the direction of the trend.