According to Al Brooks, what is a final flag?
It is the last trading range or pullback in a trend before the trend reverses.
What type of market pattern do most reversals, including final flags, involve?
Trading ranges.
A pullback in a trend is also known as a _____.
flag
Normally, what is the expected outcome after a pullback or flag forms in a trend?
The trend usually resumes instead of reverses.
A horizontal trading range late in a bull trend after _____ or more bars is a candidate for a final flag.
20
Why might a market reverse after breaking above a horizontal trading range late in a bull trend?
The market often discovers the price is too high and must reverse back down to the area of agreement (the trading range).
In a tight channel, the first reversal attempt is usually _____, meaning it will likely become a flag.
minor
What is an ‘II pattern’ in the context of final flags?
An inside bar that follows another inside bar, which can act as a small final flag before a major reversal.
Can a final flag breakout fail to reach a new trend extreme (new high or low)?
Yes, a breakout can reverse from a lower high in a bull trend or a higher low in a bear trend.
What is the primary purpose of identifying potential final flags?
To anticipate that a breakout might fail and lead to a reversal, allowing for quick profits and preparation for a counter-trend trade.
What might a bull breakout above the top of a channel indicate?
The market might be going too far up, signaling potential exhaustion and a coming reversal.
If a first reversal attempt fails and the trend resumes, what should traders be prepared for?
A second reversal attempt.
What does it signal when a market breaks a bull trend line by moving sideways?
It warns that if the trend resumes to test the prior high, it might fail and reverse down.
A horizontal flag forming just below what kind of level might lead to the final leg of a bull trend?
A resistance level.
When a breakout occurs, traders should project a potential _____ target to see how the market behaves there.
measured move
What pattern, also a major trend reversal, consists of three attempts to move up, with each reversing?
A wedge top.
An II pattern late in a trend is often a small _____ on a smaller time frame chart.
triangle
A series of buy climaxes late in a trend with little pullback increases the odds of what?
The end of the bull trend, with at least 10 bars and two legs of sideways to down movement.
When does a pullback start to be considered a trading range?
Once it grows to about 10 or 20 bars.
Once a pullback becomes a trading range (approx. 20 bars), what is the probability of a reversal versus a resumption?
The probability of a reversal becomes as high as the probability of a resumption.
Trading ranges are said to have a _____ pull, increasing the probability that any breakout will fail.
magnetic
According to Al Brooks’ rule, what percentage of trading range breakouts fail?
0.8
A strong breakout of five consecutive bull bars far above a bear trend line suggests what about the next move down?
It suggests the next reversal down might be the final one, and the bulls could take control.
Every bear trend ends at what?
Support.