23 Flashcards

(61 cards)

1
Q

According to Al Brooks, what is a final flag?

A

It is the last trading range or pullback in a trend before the trend reverses.

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2
Q

What type of market pattern do most reversals, including final flags, involve?

A

Trading ranges.

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3
Q

A pullback in a trend is also known as a _____.

A

flag

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4
Q

Normally, what is the expected outcome after a pullback or flag forms in a trend?

A

The trend usually resumes instead of reverses.

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5
Q

A horizontal trading range late in a bull trend after _____ or more bars is a candidate for a final flag.

A

20

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6
Q

Why might a market reverse after breaking above a horizontal trading range late in a bull trend?

A

The market often discovers the price is too high and must reverse back down to the area of agreement (the trading range).

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7
Q

In a tight channel, the first reversal attempt is usually _____, meaning it will likely become a flag.

A

minor

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8
Q

What is an ‘II pattern’ in the context of final flags?

A

An inside bar that follows another inside bar, which can act as a small final flag before a major reversal.

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9
Q

Can a final flag breakout fail to reach a new trend extreme (new high or low)?

A

Yes, a breakout can reverse from a lower high in a bull trend or a higher low in a bear trend.

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10
Q

What is the primary purpose of identifying potential final flags?

A

To anticipate that a breakout might fail and lead to a reversal, allowing for quick profits and preparation for a counter-trend trade.

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11
Q

What might a bull breakout above the top of a channel indicate?

A

The market might be going too far up, signaling potential exhaustion and a coming reversal.

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12
Q

If a first reversal attempt fails and the trend resumes, what should traders be prepared for?

A

A second reversal attempt.

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13
Q

What does it signal when a market breaks a bull trend line by moving sideways?

A

It warns that if the trend resumes to test the prior high, it might fail and reverse down.

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14
Q

A horizontal flag forming just below what kind of level might lead to the final leg of a bull trend?

A

A resistance level.

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15
Q

When a breakout occurs, traders should project a potential _____ target to see how the market behaves there.

A

measured move

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16
Q

What pattern, also a major trend reversal, consists of three attempts to move up, with each reversing?

A

A wedge top.

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17
Q

An II pattern late in a trend is often a small _____ on a smaller time frame chart.

A

triangle

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18
Q

A series of buy climaxes late in a trend with little pullback increases the odds of what?

A

The end of the bull trend, with at least 10 bars and two legs of sideways to down movement.

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19
Q

When does a pullback start to be considered a trading range?

A

Once it grows to about 10 or 20 bars.

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20
Q

Once a pullback becomes a trading range (approx. 20 bars), what is the probability of a reversal versus a resumption?

A

The probability of a reversal becomes as high as the probability of a resumption.

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21
Q

Trading ranges are said to have a _____ pull, increasing the probability that any breakout will fail.

A

magnetic

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22
Q

According to Al Brooks’ rule, what percentage of trading range breakouts fail?

A

0.8

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23
Q

A strong breakout of five consecutive bull bars far above a bear trend line suggests what about the next move down?

A

It suggests the next reversal down might be the final one, and the bulls could take control.

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24
Q

Every bear trend ends at what?

A

Support.

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25
A minor reversal from a tight bear channel will probably lead to a _____ instead of an immediate bull trend.
trading range
26
A final bear flag is more likely if it forms right above a _____ level.
support
27
What is a series of sell climaxes indicative of?
An exhausted trend where bears will likely stop selling and take profits.
28
What does a 'low two' or 'double top bear flag' signify in a bear trend?
It represents a halting of the selling, where bulls are becoming as strong as the bears.
29
In a bear trend, if traders see a strong reversal attempt up followed by a second, stronger attempt from a higher low, what will they likely do?
They will look to buy for at least a couple of legs up.
30
A reversal from a very strong selloff will likely be _____, leading to a deep pullback and a trading range.
minor
31
Can a final flag be as small as a single bar?
Yes, especially after a climactic move.
32
What often follows the first reversal attempt up from a tight bear channel?
A deep pullback, sometimes to a new, slightly lower low, as the market forms a trading range.
33
Term: Moving Average Gap Bar
Definition: A bar with a gap between its low and the moving average, often leading to the final leg of a bear trend.
34
A good-looking major trend reversal pattern has about a _____% chance of reversing into a swing or trend in the opposite direction.
40
35
What are the two most common outcomes after a major trend reversal pattern that does not lead to a new trend?
The original trend resumes, or the market goes sideways into a trading range.
36
When buying a reversal you believe might be minor, what should your primary goal be?
To take a scalp (a quick, small profit).
37
When buying a major reversal, what is the better goal compared to just scalping?
To look for a swing profit or trend in the opposite direction.
38
A reasonable place to take at least partial profits on a trade is at _____ times your initial risk.
two
39
Why might a rally that forms a lower high be considered a bear flag?
Because it could be a leg within a broader bear channel, signaling a potential resumption of the downtrend.
40
A rally to a lower high can be simultaneously viewed as the start of a bull trend, a leg in a trading range, and a _____.
bear flag
41
A triangle that forms a higher low major trend reversal can also be considered a type of _____.
final bear flag
42
What pattern can be described as having a left shoulder, a slightly lower head, and a right shoulder?
A head and shoulders bottom.
43
A tight trading range late in a bull trend of 20+ bars is often the final bull flag, and its breakout frequently _____.
fails
44
The biggest bull bar occurring 20 or more bars into a bull trend is likely an _____ gap rather than a measuring gap.
exhaustion
45
What is a 'second leg trap'?
A final move in the direction of the trend (leg two) that quickly reverses, trapping traders who entered on the breakout.
46
What psychological event causes a sharp reversal down after a buy climax?
Bulls who bought late give up and sell, while confident bears begin to sell aggressively.
47
What is an inside bar?
A bar whose high is at or below the prior bar's high, and whose low is at or above the prior bar's low.
48
An II pattern is a breakout mode situation with a _____% chance of a bull breakout and a _____% chance of a bear breakout.
50 / 50
49
Can a bull flag have a bear breakout instead of a bull breakout?
Yes, and if it's the last flag in the trend, it's still considered the final bull flag.
50
When is a gap more likely to be an exhaustion gap marking the end of a trend?
When it occurs after a sell climax and the trend has already gone on for 20 or more bars.
51
A spike followed by a parabolic channel is a sign of what kind of trend?
A Spike and Channel bull trend, which is climactic.
52
After a parabolic buy climax, a small, unremarkable bull flag can often be the _____ flag.
final
53
Who is buying at the exact top of a buy climax?
Weak bears who are covering their shorts for a loss.
54
Who is selling at the exact top of a buy climax?
Strong bulls taking profits and strong bears initiating short positions.
55
After taking profits on a climactic move, how long will strong bulls typically wait before buying again?
At least 10 or 20 bars, to see if the bears can reverse the market.
56
A reversal down from a very tight bull channel is more likely to be _____ and lead to a trading range rather than a bear trend.
minor
57
What is a 'low two short' pattern?
A pattern with two rally attempts that fail, creating a small double top, which serves as a short signal (e.g., low one, low two).
58
After a series of sell climaxes, strong bears stop selling and start _____, while strong bulls start buying.
taking profits
59
The best-looking bear bar occurring after 20 or more bars in a downtrend increases the chances that it is an _____ sell climax.
exhaustive
60
When buying a potential reversal with high risk, the potential _____ must be far greater than the risk.
reward
61
As a trade becomes higher probability, what typically happens to the stop distance and potential reward?
The stop is usually further away (greater risk) and you are buying later (less reward).