48b Flashcards

(65 cards)

1
Q

According to Al Brooks, what are the three parts that exist in every market’s cycle?

A

A bull trend, a bear trend, and a trading range.

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2
Q

The behavior of the market tends to change after the initial one to three hours of the day, marking the end of the _____.

A

opening range

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3
Q

What is the typical behavioral shift that traders must be prepared for after the opening range concludes?

A

A transition from a trend to a trading range, or a trend reversal.

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4
Q

When the market is in a trading range, what is the primary trading strategy?

A

To scalp by buying low, selling high, and taking quick profits.

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5
Q

Once the market begins to trend, what trading strategy should be employed?

A

Swing trading for a portion or all of the position.

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6
Q

A wide bear channel often has periods where the market is technically always in what state?

A

A bull trend (during the pullbacks).

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7
Q

What should a trader be prepared to do in response to the market changing its behavior during the day?

A

Transition to a different trading style appropriate for the new market behavior.

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8
Q

What is the approximate percentage of trading days that start with a strong trend and continue in that trend all day without transitioning?

A

About 10%.

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9
Q

On 90% of days that begin with a strong trend, what two outcomes are most likely to occur later in the day?

A

The market will either enter a trading range or reverse into an opposite trend.

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10
Q

A very strong, steep trend that is likely unsustainable is known as a _____ move.

A

parabolic

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11
Q

What is a common result of a series of buying or selling climaxes?

A

A reversal into a trading range or an opposite trend.

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12
Q

What does poor follow-through after strong trend bars (e.g., a strong bull bar followed by a bear or doji bar) typically signify?

A

The market is in balance and is likely transitioning into a trading range.

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13
Q

A trading range day must have at least one leg _____ and one leg _____.

A

up, down

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14
Q

Even on a strong trend day, it is common for the market to enter a _____ sometime during the middle of the day.

A

trading range

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15
Q

When a trend enters a trading range that lasts for about 5 to 10 bars, what is the probability of the original trend resuming?

A

Approximately 60%.

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16
Q

Once a trading range continues for 20 or more bars, what happens to the probability of a breakout direction?

A

It drops to near 50/50 for a breakout up or down.

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17
Q

How is a ‘small pullback bull trend’ characterized?

A

It has very small pullbacks, few and small bear bars, and gaps between bars.

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18
Q

In a small pullback bull trend, the low of a bar often stays above the high of the prior signal bar, creating a _____.

A

gap

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19
Q

What is a key difference between a small pullback bull trend and a bull leg in a trading range?

A

In a trading range bull leg, pullbacks are deep enough for bears to profit by selling, which is not the case in a strong trend.

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20
Q

If pullbacks in an uptrend repeatedly break below prior breakout points, is it more likely a true bull trend or a bull leg in a trading range?

A

It is more likely a bull leg within a trading range.

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21
Q

A trading day that trends up for the first half and trends down for the second half, without breaking the opening low, is best classified as what type of day?

A

A trading range day.

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22
Q

A _____ is a pattern often found late in a bear trend, characterized by a weak rally before the trend resumes, and is often a final flag.

A

wedge bear flag

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23
Q

The presence of many large bull bars within a broad bear channel suggests the channel is more likely to evolve into a ____.

A

trading range

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24
Q

In a trading range, bulls often look to buy below prior lows, a strategy that relies on the failure of _____.

A

bear breakouts

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25
A _____ is a common reversal pattern that consists of a trend, a breakout, and then a higher low (for a bull reversal) or lower high (for a bear reversal).
major trend reversal
26
When an exceptionally strong, climactic move occurs at the open, traders should be cautious of what two possibilities?
A trading range or a parabolic reversal.
27
A parabolic move is often characterized by a series of three or more pushes, which can be identified as a ____.
wedge top
28
After a parabolic buying climax, traders should expect at least a _____ bar correction, often with two legs.
ten
29
When any bull trend is followed by a very narrow trading range, traders must consider the possibility of a _____ and a major trend reversal.
double top
30
When a trading range becomes extremely narrow, what is the recommended action for most traders?
To stop trading, as it is difficult to make money even with scalps.
31
In a narrow trading range, bulls taking profits near prior highs and bears selling near prior highs contributes to the continuation of the _____.
range-bound action
32
A breakout from a long and narrow trading range often leads to a _____ move, which traders can swing trade.
measured
33
If bulls swing trade a breakout from a range and the market pulls back slightly below the breakout point, where is a reasonable place for their stop loss?
Below the measured move target to the downside.
34
What action indicates that the 'last bulls' have given up during a bear breakout from a trading range?
They exit their positions immediately rather than waiting for their stop loss to be hit.
35
The last third of the day often begins with a _____ of the support or resistance established during the middle third of the day.
breakout
36
What is Al Brooks' '80% Rule' as it applies to trends?
If the market is in a trend, 80% of reversal attempts will fail.
37
What is Al Brooks' '80% Rule' as it applies to trading ranges?
If the market is in a trading range, 80% of breakout attempts will fail.
38
During the middle third of the trading day, the market often tests a significant support or resistance level, such as the _____.
day's opening price
39
The day's opening price often acts as a _____ for price, especially when the market has been trading in a range around it.
magnet
40
If the market is above the open price for most of the day, the open acts as what?
Support.
41
If the market is below the open price for most of the day, the open acts as what?
Resistance.
42
What are the three possible outcomes after the market tests the opening price late in the day?
1. The trading range continues. 2. It reverses off the level, creating a trend day. 3. It breaks through the level, creating a trend day in the breakout direction.
43
Large trend bars that appear during a trading range and move quickly toward a support level (like the open) might just be a _____ test, not the start of a new trend.
vacuum
44
When traders are eager to buy at a support level, they may place limit orders slightly above the level, indicating what?
They are confident the support will hold and are afraid of missing the entry.
45
A strong reversal up from a test of support often marks the end of the day's _____ and the beginning of the final third.
middle third
46
If a trader buys a reversal up from a support level, where is an aggressive but logical place for a stop loss?
Below the low of the reversal, betting that the low of the day has been made.
47
A more conservative stop loss placement when buying a reversal would be below the _____ of the initial bull reversal pattern.
bottom
48
What is a 'High 2' or 'Low 2' buy/sell setup?
A signal that occurs after a two-legged pullback within a trend.
49
For traders seeking higher probability entries, what is a sign of confirmation that a new trend is underway?
Seeing three or four consecutive trend bars closing near their extremes.
50
A _____ that forms late in a bull trend is often the final bull flag before a reversal or significant pullback.
triangle
51
What other factors can act as 'magnets' for price, similar to the day's open?
Big round numbers, measured move targets, or the apex of a triangle.
52
A day that trends up for most of the session but sells off in the final hour to close near the open will form what kind of bar on the daily chart?
A doji candlestick (or a bar with prominent wicks/tails).
53
When trading, there is always a tradeoff between high _____ and favorable risk/reward.
probability
54
Higher probability setups, like waiting for strong breakout confirmation, usually involve a wider stop, which means greater _____ and a poorer risk/reward ratio.
risk
55
If you believe with at least 60% certainty that the market is in a bear trend, what should you do?
You must sell at least a small position.
56
A large bear trend bar breaking below a tight channel can be interpreted as a climax, which increases the chance of a _____.
rally
57
In a bear trend, a strong bull reversal bar that is the largest bar in the last 15 bars can be viewed as a bad _____ signal bar.
sell
58
After a bear trend, a bull breakout followed by a higher low is a setup for a _____.
major trend reversal
59
Although the probability of a major trend reversal setup succeeding is never 60%, a strong setup can have a probability approaching _____.
0.5
60
When entering on a major trend reversal setup, a trader who waits for a strong breakout and follow-through is trading for higher _____, but at a worse price.
probability
61
The middle of the day is often characterized by a transition, where an opening trend becomes a ____.
trading range
62
What is the primary decision a trader must make about an initial trend at the market open?
Whether it's the start of a major trend day or just one leg of an eventual trading range.
63
In a potential major trend reversal, the pattern can be described as a _____, which is a type of double bottom or double top with a higher low or lower high.
wedge
64
For traders who prefer to buy pullbacks, a test of the _____ is a common entry point once a new trend has been established.
20-bar exponential moving average
65
When a market has a strong breakout, traders often _____ their stops to lock in profits.
trail