29 Flashcards

(60 cards)

1
Q

According to Al Brooks, how is a ‘climax’ primarily distinguished from a ‘breakout’?

A

A climax is a breakout that occurs late in a trend (after 20 or more bars), whereas a breakout occurs early in a trend.

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2
Q

Every major reversal pattern, including a climax, most of the time involves a _____.

A

trading range

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3
Q

What is the term for a breakout that occurs late in a trend and is followed by the trend either going sideways or reversing?

A

Climax.

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4
Q

After a climax occurs, what are the approximate probabilities of a trend reversal versus a trend resumption?

A

There is a 50% chance of a trend reversal and a 50% chance of trend resumption.

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5
Q

Most climaxes are only a single bar and lead to what type of reversal?

A

A minor reversal, such as a pullback in a trend or a leg in a trading range.

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6
Q

In a buy climax, what psychological shift is occurring among bulls and bears?

A

Bears are giving up or being overwhelmed, while strong bulls become aggressive enough to buy at the high.

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7
Q

A climax can be as brief as a single bar or last for many bars, such as in what type of channel pattern?

A

A micro channel.

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8
Q

A gap between the close of a climactic bar and prior lows that subsequently closes is called an _____.

A

exhaustion gap

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9
Q

When a climactic breakout fails and the gap closes, the breakout is referred to as what type of climax?

A

An exhaustive climax.

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10
Q

If a strong breakout occurs late in a trend and the subsequent pullback does not close the gap, it may be a _____ leading to a measured move.

A

measuring gap

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11
Q

After a sell climax reverses, what is the first price target for the reversal?

A

The start (high) of the sell climax.

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12
Q

After a buy climax reverses, what is the first price target for the reversal?

A

The start (low) of the buy climax.

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13
Q

What is the traditional definition of a climax?

A

A strong surge late in a trend followed by an abrupt, unexpected (low probability) reversal.

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14
Q

An abrupt, sharp reversal at a top is often called a V-top or an _____ V.

A

inverted

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15
Q

Any unsustainable move late in a trend, such as a very tight channel, is considered _____.

A

climactic

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16
Q

How does a tight bull channel on a 5-minute chart often appear on a 60-minute chart?

A

As a strong breakout, like one or two big bull trend bars.

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17
Q

A strong rally within a trading range is likely a _____ test of resistance at the top of the range.

A

buy vacuum

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18
Q

A strong selloff within a trading range is likely a _____ test of support at the bottom of the range.

A

sell vacuum

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19
Q

A series of consecutive buy climaxes often leads to what market state?

A

Exhaustion, followed by a trading range and sometimes an opposite trend.

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20
Q

Why does Al Brooks rarely use the terms ‘V-top’ or ‘V-bottom’?

A

Because they are usually something else, like a wedge, parabolic wedge, or major trend reversal.

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21
Q

Perfect V-tops and V-bottoms are extremely rare and usually only occur on smaller time frame charts due to what?

A

News events.

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22
Q

A pattern that looks like a V-top can often be identified as a parabolic wedge with how many pushes?

A

Three pushes.

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23
Q

For a pullback after a reversal to qualify as a lower high major trend reversal, it must retrace at least how much of the initial leg down?

A

At least one-third.

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24
Q

What is the minimum expected outcome after a buy climax halts a trend?

A

A trading range lasting for several bars.

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25
An exceptionally strong bull bar late in a weak trend is called a _____ bar.
surprise
26
Why do smart bulls take at least partial profits on a surprisingly big bull trend bar?
They don't want to risk the surprise gift quickly disappearing in a reversal.
27
A buy climax is partially caused by weak bears _____ back their shorts as the market races up against them.
buying
28
After taking profits on a big climactic bar, strong bulls will typically wait how long before considering buying again?
At least 5 to 10 bars, to see if bears can create a reversal.
29
The market state of 'big down, big up' creates 'big confusion,' which is the hallmark of a _____.
trading range
30
What is a micro double top?
Two nearby highs, not necessarily at the same price, that represent two failed attempts to go higher, often on a small scale.
31
While many assume a climax leads to a trend reversal, what is the more common outcome?
The market goes sideways into a trading range.
32
A climactic reversal, such as a sharp selloff that reverses up, is often simply a leg within a _____.
trading range
33
A single, very big climactic bar that reverses immediately is often related to what?
A news event.
34
Why is a micro channel considered climactic?
It is an unsustainable pattern that the market cannot continue forever.
35
A failed breakout at the start of a trend is called a failed breakout, not a _____.
climax
36
What is a 'negative gap'?
A situation where a pullback slightly overlaps the breakout point, which can sometimes still lead to a measured move.
37
When you see the biggest trend bar of a trend occurring after 50 or 60 bars, is it more likely to be an exhaustion gap or a measuring gap?
It is more likely (60% chance) to be an exhaustion gap.
38
A series of three or more climaxes in a very tight channel with little pullback often forms what pattern?
A parabolic wedge.
39
A buy climax is considered to have ended when the next bar is either a _____ bar or a small bar.
bear
40
What is the probability that a breakout above a bull channel will fail and reverse to test the bottom of the channel?
Approximately 75%.
41
Because of the high probability of a breakout below its trendline, any bull channel can also be considered a _____.
bear flag
42
Due to a 75% chance of a breakout above its trendline, every bear channel is considered a _____.
bull flag
43
What is the acronym for the general rule to wait before buying after a significant reversal down from a series of buy climaxes?
TBTF (Ten Bars Two Legs).
44
After a strong breakout above a bull channel, the market cycle starts over again, beginning with the breakout, followed by a channel, and then a _____.
trading range
45
After a market goes sideways for 20 or more bars following a climax, what is the market said to be in?
Breakout mode.
46
In breakout mode after 20-30 bars, the probability of trend resumption is approximately what?
50%, the same as the probability of a trend reversal.
47
In a trading range, a double bottom bull flag is a buy signal, while a _____ is a sell signal for bears.
lower high major trend reversal
48
What two 'magnets' can pull price up quickly in a buy vacuum?
A measured move target and the top of a channel.
49
After a series of consecutive buy climaxes, the minimum objective for a correction is _____ bars and _____ legs sideways to down.
10, two
50
What is a likely cause for up to 50% of the selling pressure during a severe sell climax?
Option selling firms hedging their short puts by selling the underlying asset.
51
The measure of how fast the delta of an option is changing is known as _____.
gamma
52
Hedging by option sellers means a series of sell climaxes is often far less _____ than it appears.
bearish
53
Why do buy climaxes tend to be less severe or extreme than sell climaxes?
Option firms selling calls are under less pressure to hedge by buying, so they contribute less to the buying pressure.
54
A bear breakout below a wedge bottom is a low probability event; if it occurs with good follow-through, what is the minimum expected price action?
At least a small second leg down.
55
When a low probability breakout traps traders, what is the likely reaction on the first pullback?
Trapped traders will exit, and traders who missed the move will enter, often causing a second leg.
56
The biggest sell climax occurring late in a bear trend is more likely an _____ end of the trend than a measuring gap.
exhaustive
57
As a minimum guideline, a 50-bar bear trend would typically be followed by a corrective rally lasting at least how long before bears sell again?
Two legs and about 20 to 30 bars.
58
A 13-bar bull microchannel is an example of _____ behavior that is usually climactic.
unsustainable
59
A double top lower high within a tight trading range is also known as a double top lower high _____.
major trend reversal
60
What is the probability of getting a swing trade (two legs down) after a double top lower high major trend reversal signal?
0.4