9 Flashcards

(50 cards)

1
Q

In a bull trend, what defines a pullback?

A

A pullback occurs when the low of a bar goes below the low of the prior bar.

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2
Q

In a bear trend, what defines a pullback?

A

A pullback occurs when the high of a bar goes above the high of a prior bar.

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3
Q

What is an ‘implied’ or ‘inferred’ pullback on a higher timeframe chart?

A

It is a bar with a prominent tail or an opposite-colored body that suggests a pullback occurred on a lower timeframe, even if one didn’t officially occur on the current chart.

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4
Q

Why are pullbacks, including implied ones, important for traders in a trend?

A

They signal that the trend is likely to resume soon and provide an opportunity to enter.

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5
Q

In a bull trend, where does a trader’s stop-loss order go when buying a pullback?

A

The stop goes below the bottom of the most recent bull leg, not near the entry bar.

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6
Q

When buying pullbacks in a strong trend, you are taking a high-probability trade. What are you typically giving up in return?

A

You are giving the other side a good risk-reward ratio, meaning your own risk is often large compared to your potential initial reward.

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7
Q

At what point does Al Brooks suggest a pullback may be better described as a trading range?

A

Once the pullback grows to 20 or more bars.

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8
Q

When a pullback evolves into a trading range, what happens to the probability for bulls and bears?

A

The probability of success becomes roughly equal (50/50) for both bulls and bears.

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9
Q

Why do institutional traders start taking partial profits during a long trend, causing pullbacks?

A

The stop becomes too far away, increasing their risk beyond their maximum allowed limit, so they reduce position size to reduce risk.

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10
Q

When a trend resumption is strong after a pullback, where can a trader move their stop to?

A

To the bottom of the most recent strong breakout.

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11
Q

What is the significance of a 50% pullback level?

A

It’s the point where the risk and reward are the same for both bulls and bears, making probability the deciding factor.

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12
Q

According to Al Brooks, what is the rational basis for 50% pullbacks that Fibonacci numbers lack?

A

At 50%, risk equals reward for both sides, whereas Fibonacci numbers have no rational basis in market mechanics.

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13
Q

What event signals the end of a pullback in a bull trend?

A

The pullback ends when a bar’s high goes above the high of the prior bar, triggering a trend resumption attempt.

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14
Q

What event signals the end of a pullback in a bear trend?

A

The pullback ends when a bar’s low goes below the low of the prior bar, triggering a trend resumption attempt.

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15
Q

In bar counting, what is a ‘High 1’ (H1) bull flag?

A

It is the first attempt for the market to resume up after a pullback in a bull trend.

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16
Q

A bar that sets up a High 1 entry is called the _____, and the bar that triggers the entry is the entry bar.

A

buy signal bar

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17
Q

What is a ‘High 2’ (H2) bull flag?

A

It is the second attempt to resume a bull trend after a pullback, typically following a failed High 1 attempt.

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18
Q

An ABC correction, where ‘A’ is the first leg down, ‘B’ is a rally, and ‘C’ is a second leg down, is also known as a _____.

A

High 2 bull flag

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19
Q

A pullback that has three pushes and is mostly horizontal is called a _____.

A

triangle

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20
Q

How is a wedge pattern different from a triangle pattern?

A

A wedge is a triangle that is sloped, either up or down.

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21
Q

What is a ‘Low 1’ (L1) bear flag?

A

It is the first attempt for the market to resume down after a pullback in a bear trend.

22
Q

What is a ‘Low 2’ (L2) bear flag?

A

It is the second attempt to resume a bear trend after a pullback, typically following a failed Low 1 attempt.

23
Q

What does it generally signify if a pullback in a bull trend has five or six legs down?

A

It signifies that the market is likely in a bear trend, not a pullback.

24
Q

What does it generally signify if a pullback in a bear trend has three or four consecutive bull bars with full bodies?

A

It signifies that the market is likely in a bull swing or trend, not a pullback.

25
Every double bottom pattern is considered what type of bar-counting setup?
A High 2 (H2) buy setup.
26
Every double top pattern is considered what type of bar-counting setup?
A Low 2 (L2) sell setup.
27
All wedge bottoms and wedge bull flags are considered what type of bar-counting setup?
High 3 (H3) buy setups.
28
All wedge tops and wedge bear flags are considered what type of bar-counting setup?
Low 3 (L3) sell setups.
29
What is the difference in terminology for a double bottom in a bear trend versus a bull trend?
In a bear trend, it's a 'double bottom reversal attempt'; in a bull trend, it's a 'double bottom bull flag'.
30
What is the difference in terminology for a double top in a bull trend versus a bear trend?
In a bull trend, it's a 'double top reversal attempt'; in a bear trend, it's a 'double top bear flag'.
31
When a double top forms, from which high is the initial measured move target calculated?
The measured move is first calculated from the lower of the two highs.
32
In a bull trend, why is a High 2 buy setup considered a reliable, high-probability entry?
Because counter-trend bears who shorted will give up and buy to cover on the second attempt against them, adding to the buying pressure from bulls.
33
In a bear trend, why is a Low 2 sell setup considered a reliable, high-probability entry?
Because counter-trend bulls who bought will give up and sell on the second attempt against them, adding to the selling pressure from bears.
34
What is a 'High 4' (H4) setup, also known as consecutive reversals?
It's a second, complex bottoming attempt after a first complex bottoming attempt failed, often appearing as a High 2 followed by another High 2.
35
What is a 'Low 4' (L4) setup?
It's a second, complex topping attempt after a first complex topping attempt failed, often appearing as a Low 2 followed by another Low 2.
36
Why do experienced traders often avoid buying H1, H2, or H3 setups in a very tight bear channel?
Because in a strong trend, 80% of reversal attempts fail and are more likely to become bear flags, offering selling opportunities.
37
A complex correction on a 5-minute chart, like a High 4, will often appear as what on a higher timeframe chart like a 60-minute chart?
A simpler correction, such as a large High 2.
38
A simple Low 1 pullback on a 5-minute chart can often be seen as what more complex pattern on a 1-minute chart?
A complex pattern like a wedge bear flag or a Low 2.
39
What is an 'endless pullback'?
A pullback that grows to 20 or more bars, especially in a tight channel, where the probability of trend reversal becomes equal to the probability of trend resumption.
40
When a bull flag becomes an endless pullback in a tight bear channel, what is the approximate probability of a bear breakout versus a bull resumption?
The probability becomes about 50/50 for each outcome.
41
What is the primary purpose of using bar counting in a trend?
It provides a methodical and logical reason to enter a trade during a pullback.
42
A trader is short in a strong bull trend. They should consider exiting their short if a _____ setup with a bull body triggers.
High 2 (H2)
43
A bull trend followed by a bear breakout and a lower high is known as a _____.
lower high major trend reversal
44
In what situation might a trader start their bar count over again during a pullback?
After a reasonably strong breakout within the pullback, some traders will restart the count, seeing it as the first leg of a new structure.
45
What defines a 'bull micro channel'?
A series of bars where every low is at or above the low of the prior bar.
46
Why is it generally a bad idea to look for sell setups (like Low 1, Low 2) in an extremely strong bull trend?
Because reversal attempts in strong trends are highly likely to fail and simply become bull flags, creating buying opportunities.
47
What is a parabolic wedge top?
A pattern with three accelerating pushes up (1-2-3) that often signals a potential opening reversal and high of the day.
48
If a strong bull breakout occurs above a wedge top, what does this signal?
It signals that there will likely be at least a small second leg up.
49
What is the market condition 'always in short'?
A point where both bulls have given up and bears are actively selling, making it probable the market will go lower.
50
After a strong breakout to a new high in a bull trend, where should the stop be moved to?
Below the most recent pullback or breakout bar that led to the new high.