40 Flashcards

(70 cards)

1
Q

What psychological phenomenon, also known as FOMO, often drives trends with very small pullbacks?

A

Fear Of Missing Out, where traders enter the market with small size rather than waiting for a pullback.

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2
Q

In a strong bull trend, traders experiencing FOMO are afraid to buy but are more afraid of _____, causing them to buy with smaller size.

A

not being long

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3
Q

According to Al Brooks, what an experienced trader calls ‘noise’ simply refers to price swings that are ____.

A

too small for them to bother trading, not that the movements are random

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4
Q

Why is entering a very strong trend often difficult for traders with small accounts?

A

The correct stop-loss is far away, representing a risk that is too large for the account size.

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5
Q

A common technique for trading a FOMO market with small pullbacks is to buy the _____ of strong trend bars.

A

close

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6
Q

When a strong bull trend has its first significant sell-off, what is the most likely outcome for the market?

A

The market will enter a trading range, not an immediate bear trend.

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7
Q

What do tails on the top of candlesticks late in a strong bull trend typically indicate?

A

Profit-taking by bulls, signaling that the trend might be transitioning.

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8
Q

If traders who ‘buy the close’ are disappointed by the immediate follow-through bars, what action do they often take?

A

They place limit orders to exit their trades at or near their entry price (breakeven).

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9
Q

The constant small losses from repeatedly trying to trade counter-trend in a strong market are described as ____.

A

death by a thousand cuts

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10
Q

One of the best techniques to avoid missing a strong trend is to enter at the market with a smaller position size and use a(n) _____ stop.

A

appropriate (wider)

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11
Q

What is the term for the candle with the highest closing price in a bull trend?

A

The final bull trend bar.

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12
Q

Many institutional traders use line charts, which only show the closing prices, making the highest close a key _____ level.

A

resistance

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13
Q

In a bear trend, the lowest close of the move acts as a significant _____ level.

A

support

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14
Q

What does it signify when a bear trend repeatedly fails to break below the prior lowest close and starts to reverse?

A

It indicates that bears are losing conviction and are buying back their shorts, signaling a potential trend change.

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15
Q

As a strong trend weakens and transitions into a channel or trading range, traders often shift their strategy from swing trading to _____.

A

scalping

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16
Q

The low of a buying climax bar often acts as a _____ for price, meaning the market is likely to pull back to test it.

A

magnet

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17
Q

What is a ‘give up bar’?

A

A strong counter-trend bar that occurs when trapped traders finally capitulate and exit their losing positions en masse.

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18
Q

When the largest trend bar of a move appears more than 20 bars into the trend, it is more likely to be a(n) _____ than an acceleration.

A

exhaustion climax

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19
Q

A very large, unexpected profit on a trade is often seen by traders as a ‘gift,’ leading them to do what?

A

Take profits quickly.

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20
Q

If a trader scales into a position (e.g., buys high and then buys more at a lower price), what is their initial goal during a pullback?

A

To be able to exit the entire position at the average entry price for no loss (breakeven).

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21
Q

The exit attempts of trapped traders often create visible price action, such as _____ above or below their entry prices.

A

tails (wicks)

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22
Q

A strong breakout of a trading range has approximately a _____% chance of leading to a measured move.

A

60

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23
Q

Advanced traders might sell the close of a _____ bar during a strong bear trend, betting that any reversal will be minor.

A

doji or bull reversal

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24
Q

What is the typical evolution of a trapped scalper’s profit goal as the market moves against them?

A

It shifts from a small profit, to a smaller profit, to breakeven, and finally to accepting a loss.

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25
How can bulls take advantage of bear scalpers in a weakening downtrend?
By placing buy limit orders just above the bears' likely profit targets, preventing the bears from getting filled.
26
A micro double bottom forming after a strong sell-off is a sign that the market may be transitioning into a _____.
trading range
27
A trade with a small risk often has a _____ probability of success.
low
28
What action negates the premise of a bear trend?
The market breaking above a major lower high.
29
A strong breakout followed by poor follow-through is a common pattern that _____ traders who entered on the breakout.
traps
30
Term: High 2 Buy Setup
A pullback in an uptrend that makes two small legs down, forming a small double bottom, which is a signal to buy for a second leg up.
31
A very strong breakout late in an established trend is more likely to be a _____ end to the trend than the start of an even stronger leg.
climactic (exhaustion)
32
A buying climax tends to end at a _____ level, while a selling climax tends to end at a _____ level.
resistance, support
33
After a trend, when a market enters a tight trading range, the probability of trend resumption versus reversal is approximately _____.
50/50
34
A major trend reversal often begins with a double top or double bottom forming within a tight trading range of _____ bars or more.
10 to 20
35
The minimum price target for a reversal after a buying climax is the _____ of the climax bar(s).
bottom (low)
36
To be a mathematically sound trade, any setup where the potential reward equals the risk must have at least a _____% probability of success.
60
37
A 'lower high major trend reversal' sell setup has about a 40% chance of leading to what outcome?
A measured move down consisting of at least two legs.
38
When you see a potential selling climax, you should look for other confirming signs of _____, such as measured move projections or trend lines.
support
39
What is the concept of 'trend overlap'?
A new trend often begins during the pullback phase of the prior trend (e.g., a bear trend starts as a pullback in a bull trend).
40
When a measured move target from a chart pattern like a double top is reached, that price level becomes ____.
support, because traders who shorted the pattern will be taking profits there
41
Weak traders in a strong trend often get trapped trying to buy bottoms or sell tops, hoping for a ____.
reversal
42
Expert traders, seeing weak traders get trapped, will confidently _____ because they know the first reversal attempt is likely to fail.
buy (in an uptrend) or sell (in a downtrend)
43
A 'parabolic wedge' pattern, consisting of _____ pushes, is a sign of a potential climax and reversal.
three
44
The absence of buy-the-close buying after a strong bull bar creates a _____, leading the market to fall back to that closing price.
vacuum
45
In a very strong, climactic trend, where is a reasonable place to put a stop loss?
Below the start of the most recent leg of the trend.
46
What distinguishes the behavior of weak bulls from strong bulls when a trend pulls back?
Weak bulls get scared out on dips, while strong bulls use the dips as opportunities to buy more.
47
What does a 'disappointment bar' signify to traders who have just entered a trade?
It's a bar that moves against their position, suggesting the trend may be transitioning and they should be cautious.
48
When bears see a strong bull trend, they may try to sell, hoping for at least a pullback to form a _____.
bull flag
49
In a sell-the-close bear trend, what is the significance of a bar with a large tail at the bottom but a close near the low?
It shows buyers came in but were overwhelmed by sellers, so experienced bears will still sell the close.
50
If you sell a close and the next bar is a strong bull bar, it is a sign that you may have sold the ____.
final bear trend bar (the low of the move)
51
What is the first goal of a trader who scales into a losing position?
To manage the trade to get out at breakeven on their average price.
52
When trapped traders finally give up, their collective market orders to exit create a large _____.
give up bar (or capitulation bar)
53
Why is it important to pay attention to tight trading ranges that some might dismiss as 'noise'?
They provide significant information and can be the breeding ground for major trend reversals.
54
The first reversal attempt against a very tight, strong channel is likely to be ____.
minor
55
If bulls repeatedly try and fail to resume a trend from a bull flag, what is the likely outcome?
They will give up, leading to a breakout below the flag and at least a second leg down.
56
A breakout from a tight trading range that is also a _____ has a higher probability of success.
lower high (for a sell) or higher low (for a buy)
57
A wedge is a pattern with three pushes in a _____.
converging channel
58
What is one way to manage risk when entering a strong FOMO trend late?
Trade a smaller position size to accommodate the necessarily wider stop-loss.
59
The best the bears can hope for against a very strong bull channel is often a _____, not a reversal.
trading range
60
If you buy a strong breakout and the follow-through bars are small and overlapping, what should you be concerned about?
That the breakout might fail and the market could reverse.
61
What is the primary difference in mindset between a swing trader and a scalper?
A swing trader holds for a larger move, while a scalper aims for quick, small profits.
62
If both bulls and bears are buying in a downtrend, what is happening?
Bears are taking profits (buying to cover shorts) and bulls are trying to pick a bottom.
63
A breakout of a trading range below a prior bull leg is often a test of the _____.
bottom of that bull leg
64
A market is said to be 'Always In Short' when the probability favors _____ prices.
lower
65
A failed breakout from a tight trading range often leads to a strong move in the _____ direction.
opposite
66
An 'expanding triangle' is a pattern where consecutive highs get _____ and consecutive lows get _____.
higher, lower
67
A strong trend that transitions into a channel means that _____ trading has begun.
two-sided
68
A good signal bar for a short entry in a 'lower high major trend reversal' would be a strong _____ bar closing on its low.
bear
69
When a market has a series of selling climaxes, it is a sign that sellers are becoming _____.
exhausted
70
If you believe a strong down-move is a selling climax, where is your first profit target for a long position?
The top of the selling climax bar or series of bars.